aes24 International Evaluation Conference

Authors: Amanda Reeves (Victorian Department of Education), Rhiannon Birch (Victorian Department of Education, AU), Eunice Sotelo (Victorian Department of Education, AU)

To provide insight to complex policy problems, evaluations need to adopt a systems perspective and examine the structures, relationships and contexts that influence program outcomes.

This paper outlines the design of a 4-year strategic evaluation that seeks to understand how a portfolio of over 25 education programs are interacting and collectively contributing to system-level outcomes. In this context, policy makers require evaluation to look beyond the boundaries of individual programs and assess the holistic impact of this investment to inform where and how resources can be directed to maximise system outcomes.

The strategic evaluation presented is theory-based and multi-layered, using logic modelling to identify outcomes at the program, cluster and system level and draw linkages to develop a causal pathway to impact. The strategic evaluation and the evaluations of individual education programs are being designed together to build-in common measures to enable meta-analysis and synthesis of evidence to assess system-level outcomes. The design process has been broad and encompassing, considering a diverse range of methods to understand impact including quantitative scenario modelling and value for money analysis.

The authors will describe how the strategic evaluation has been designed to respond to system complexity and add value. The evaluation adopts an approach that is:
• interdisciplinary, drawing on a range of theory and methods to examine underlying drivers, system structures, contextual factors and program impacts
• collaborative, using expertise of both internal and external evaluators, to design evaluations that are aligned and can tell a story of impact at the system-level
• exploratory, embracing a learning mindset to test and adapt evaluation activities over time.

This paper will be valuable for anyone who is interested in approaches to evaluating the relative and collective contribution of multiple programs and detecting their effects at the system level to inform strategic decision-making.